ForexLive
12 Jun 2026, 15:04 GMT
HIGH IMPACT
Prior was 48.2Current conditions 48.4 vs 46.2 expected (prior was 45.8)Expectations 49.3 vs 44.3 expected (prior was 44.1)1-year inflation 4.6% vs 4.8% prior5-year inflation 3.4% vs 3.9% priorI don't know why anyone cares about this report at this point. It's been in the doldrums forever and hasn't predicted any slowdown in consumer spending. It's highly split on political lines and it tripped up the FOMC a few years ago with an illusory jump in inflation expectations that was revised away short...
ForexLive
12 Jun 2026, 14:47 GMT
MEDIUM IMPACT
The Iran peace trade is fading today after Trump wrote:The terms that Iran leaked out to the Fake News have NOTHING to do with the terms that were agreed to, in writing. What they said, including their weak and pathetic statement on having a deal, bears no relation to the truth. Very dishonorable people to deal with. With them, there is no such thing as dealing in good faith. AMAZING! Also, their totally rebuffed Drone attack last night against Indian Ships leaving the Hormuz Strait is TOTALLY U...
FXStreet Forex
12 Jun 2026, 14:38 GMT
HIGH IMPACT
National Bank of Canada (NBC) strategists assess how Kevin Warsh may reshape Federal Reserve (Fed) policy.
FXStreet Forex
12 Jun 2026, 13:15 GMT
HIGH IMPACT
Commerzbank’s Bernd Weidensteiner and Christoph Balz argue that Kevin Warsh’s first Federal Reserve meeting is unlikely to deliver an immediate rate cut, given elevated PCE inflation and a still‑solid labor market.
FXStreet Forex
12 Jun 2026, 12:53 GMT
HIGH IMPACT
MUFG analysts Lin Li, Michael Wan, Lloyd Chan and Khang Sek Lee argue that firmer US inflation and resilient labour markets underpin a higher-for-longer global rates backdrop, supporting the US Dollar.
ForexLive
12 Jun 2026, 12:16 GMT
HIGH IMPACT
Rate hikes by year-endRBNZ: 65 bps (76% probability of rate hike at the next meeting)BoJ: 46 bps (90% probability of rate hike at the next meeting)ECB: 37 bps (70% probability of no change at the next meeting)BoE: 35 bps (91% probability of no change at the next meeting)BoC: 24 bps (94% probability of no change at the next meeting)Fed: 18 bps (97% probability of no change at the next meeting)RBA: 12 bps (99% probability of no change at the next meeting)SNB: 8 bps (99% probability of no change at...
FXStreet Forex
12 Jun 2026, 12:07 GMT
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Nordea’s Jan von Gerich expects Kevin Warsh’s first FOMC meeting on 17 June to deliver a more neutral policy stance, with earlier projected rate cuts likely removed from the dot plot and some hike calls appearing.
FXStreet Forex
12 Jun 2026, 09:35 GMT
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United Overseas Bank’s (UOB) Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann note AUD/USD’s sharp rebound from 0.6979 to 0.7055 has room to extend toward 0.7060, though a clear break above this level is seen as unlikely near term.
FXStreet Forex
12 Jun 2026, 09:24 GMT
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Nomura’s Dominic Bunning and colleagues note that while the Dollar bull case remains supported by strong US data, higher Fed rate expectations and robust US equities, historical patterns around US data surprises point to downside risks for USD over the next few months.
FXStreet Forex
12 Jun 2026, 07:53 GMT
MEDIUM IMPACT
The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the value of the US Dollar (USD) against six major currencies, is holding gains after registering modest losses in the previous day and trading around 99.80 during the early European hours on Friday.
FXStreet Forex
12 Jun 2026, 06:46 GMT
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The AUD/USD pair is down 0.22% to near 0.7035 in the early European trade on Friday.
Investing.com Fundamental
12 Jun 2026, 06:25 GMT
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FXStreet Forex
12 Jun 2026, 05:36 GMT
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A Reuters poll showed on Friday that 42 of 45 economists expect the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) to hold its Official Cash Rate (OCR) at 4.35% on June 16, pausing after three hikes.
ForexLive
12 Jun 2026, 04:48 GMT
HIGH IMPACT
Reuters poll in near unanimous: RBA seen holding at 4.35% on June 16Westpac sees RBA hold at the June 15-16 meeting, but more hikes aheadIRGC vows "regret-inducing" response, signals no surrender on dealReport - US forces down Iranian drones going for strikes on Hormuz shippingPBOC sets USD/ CNY reference rate for today at 6.8109 (vs. estimate at 6.7640)South Korea’s central bank governor Shin says interest rates need to be increasedJapan's Nikkei share index up more than 4% on Trump-Iran 'dea...
Investing.com Forex
12 Jun 2026, 04:26 GMT
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