EUR/CHF News & Analysis
Live updates, breaking news, and economic events affecting the euro franc exchange rate. Last updated: 3 Jun 2026, 18:49 GMT
Current EUR/CHF Rate
0.9189
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High Impact News (Last 24 Hours)
ECB policymaker Elderson says prolonged war increases likelihood of second-round effects
Longer war increases likelihood of second-round effectsI don't see second-round effects yetThe balance of risks has clearly deterioratedECB's Elderson warned that a prolonged conflict in the Middle East increases the risk that today's energy-driven inflation shock evolves into broader and more persistent price pressures, reinforcing expectations that the ECB will raise interest rates at its June meeting.Elderson said that a longer war would increase the likelihood of so-called "second-round effe...
SNB Chairman Schlegel says medium-term inflation pressure is basically unchanged
Medium-term inflation pressure is basically unchangedIran war could increase pressure on the Swiss FrancThere's an increased willingness to intervene in FXI expect growth revival in the medium-termSNB's Chairman Martin Schlegel struck a cautious but relatively balanced tone, arguing that while the US-Iran conflict and the resulting surge in energy prices are creating near-term inflation risks, medium-term inflation pressures in Switzerland remain largely unchanged. Schlegel noted that higher ene...
Swiss Franc: Inflation data and SNB stance – Commerzbank
Commerzbank analysts Michael Pfister and Norman Liebke preview Swiss inflation for May, expecting headline at 0.6% versus consensus 0.7% and core at 0.3%. They stress that recent Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data support this benign outlook.
ECB’s Wunsch: US-Iran deal confirmation before June meeting won’t derail interest rate hike hopes
European Central Bank (ECB) policymaker and the head of Belgium's central bank, Pierre Wunsch, said in an interview with Financial Times (FT), released on Wednesday, that the likelihood of central bank tightening monetary conditions in the policy meeting next week will remain firm, even if the Unite
ECB policymaker Wunsch says June discussion to be quite easy if US-Iran conflict remains
Discussion on policy setting in June "will be quite easy" if Middle East conflict remains unresolvedIf a peace deal is confirmed just before the meeting, it will be part of the discussionHowever, we won’t know whether it will last or be credibleBut if a peace deal is confirmed, any policy talk "might be a bit less easy"There is still a case to raise interest rates if so, but just a bit less strongAt some point, we cannot let the market do all the lifting; we need to take a stanceWe may end up ...
Latest EUR/CHF News
ING’s Padhraic Garvey and Michiel Tukker stress that Eurozone real rates are increasingly driven by structural forces such as fiscal expansion and record bond supply. They point to rising 10Y euro implied real rates since 2024, helped by German spending plans.
DBS Group Research economist Radhika Rao argues that Eurozone markets face a stagflationary shock from US-Iran tensions that will hit Europe harder than the US, pushing the European Central Bank (ECB) to tighten policy earlier.
European Central Bank (ECB) Vice-Chair of the Supervisory Board Frank Elderson said during the European trading session on Wednesday that the balance of risks has clearly deteriorated due to Middle East conflicts.
Longer war increases likelihood of second-round effectsI don't see second-round effects yetThe balance of risks has clearly deterioratedECB's Elderson warned that a prolonged conflict in the Middle East increases the risk that today's energy-driven inflation shock evolves into broader and more persistent price pressures, reinforcing expectations that the ECB will raise interest rates at its June meeting.Elderson said that a longer war would increase the likelihood of so-called "second-round effe...
The European Central Bank (ECB) could tighten monetary policy sooner than previously expected, according to the latest Reuters poll of economists.
Medium-term inflation pressure is basically unchangedIran war could increase pressure on the Swiss FrancThere's an increased willingness to intervene in FXI expect growth revival in the medium-termSNB's Chairman Martin Schlegel struck a cautious but relatively balanced tone, arguing that while the US-Iran conflict and the resulting surge in energy prices are creating near-term inflation risks, medium-term inflation pressures in Switzerland remain largely unchanged. Schlegel noted that higher ene...
Swiss National Bank (SNB) Chairman Martin Schlegel said during the European trading session on Wednesday that the central bank has increased its readiness to intervene in the Forex market.
Services PMI 47.7 vs 46.4 prelimPrior 47.6Composite PMI 48.5 vs 47.5 prelimPrior 48.8Despite the troubles in France, the overall Eurozone services economy managed to hold up in May. However, private sector business activity as a whole fell to an 18-month low and marked back-to-back months of contraction for the first time since the end of 2024.Looking to the services sector, total new order inflows fell again for a third straight month. And while slowing from April, the pace of decline was nonet...
Commerzbank analysts Michael Pfister and Norman Liebke preview Swiss inflation for May, expecting headline at 0.6% versus consensus 0.7% and core at 0.3%. They stress that recent Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data support this benign outlook.
EUROPEAN SESSIONIn the European session, we don't have much on the agenda other than the final Services PMIs for the major Eurozone economies and the UK. The data is not going to change anything for the respective central banks, so the market reaction will likely be muted.AMERICAN SESSIONIn the American session, we get the US ADP report and the US ISM Services PMI. The ADP is expected at 120K vs 109K in the prior month. The US jobs data has been pointing to a stable/strengthening labour market f...
European Central Bank (ECB) policymaker and the head of Belgium's central bank, Pierre Wunsch, said in an interview with Financial Times (FT), released on Wednesday, that the likelihood of central bank tightening monetary conditions in the policy meeting next week will remain firm, even if the Unite
Discussion on policy setting in June "will be quite easy" if Middle East conflict remains unresolvedIf a peace deal is confirmed just before the meeting, it will be part of the discussionHowever, we won’t know whether it will last or be credibleBut if a peace deal is confirmed, any policy talk "might be a bit less easy"There is still a case to raise interest rates if so, but just a bit less strongAt some point, we cannot let the market do all the lifting; we need to take a stanceWe may end up ...
ABN AMRO economists Bill Diviney and Rose Heaulme note that Eurozone headline inflation rose to 3.2% in May, with core inflation surprising at 2.5%. Energy remains the main driver, while food inflation eased.
Commerzbank’s Dr. Vincent Stamer argues persistent Euro area inflation above 3% and rising core pressures make an European Central Bank (ECB) rate increase unavoidable. He cites firms’ intentions to pass on higher energy costs and elevated consumer inflation expectations.
Société Générale economist Sam Cartwright notes Euro area headline inflation rose to 3.2% year-on-year in May, with core inflation at 2.5%. Services, not energy, led the increase, partly due to Easter timing effects.
Frequently Asked Questions
Why is EUR/CHF moving today?
EUR/CHF movements are primarily driven by interest rate decisions from the European Central Bank (ECB) and Swiss National Bank (SNB), economic data releases from the Eurozone and Swiss economies (CPI, GDP, employment), and geopolitical events. Check our live news feed above for today's specific drivers.
How often is EUR/CHF news updated?
Our news feed is automatically updated every 15 minutes from trusted sources including Reuters, Bloomberg, and major forex news providers. Breaking rate alerts are generated instantly when significant moves (>0.5%) are detected.
What affects the EUR/CHF exchange rate?
Key factors include European Central Bank (ECB) and Swiss National Bank (SNB) interest rate policies, economic data releases (Eurozone CPI, ECB interest rate decisions, GDP growth; Swiss CPI, SNB policy decisions, GDP, safe-haven flows), political events, trade balances, and market sentiment. Major announcements from ECB President and Governing Council members and SNB Chairman and Governing Board often trigger significant moves.