ForexLive
25 Aug 2026, 20:21 GMT
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ECB sources from Reuters:Policymakers ready to raise rates to stem effects of Iran warLittle appetite at ECB to signal further tighteningThe market is 94% priced for a Sept 10 rate hike and fully priced for another hike by April. This article was written by Adam Button at investinglive.com.
ForexLive
25 Aug 2026, 05:15 GMT
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EUROPEAN SESSIONIn the European session, we have the German IFO survey which is expected to improve to 87.2 vs 86.6 in the prior month. The IFO is correlated with the German Composite PMI given that they measure basically the same thing, although they occasionally diverge due to differences in survey design and sector weightings. The data is not going to change anything for the ECB, so the market reaction will likely be muted.AMERICAN SESSIONIn the American session, the only highlight is the US...
ForexLive
24 Aug 2026, 22:40 GMT
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A September hike is now close to fully priced by markets, meaning the bigger risk for the yen sits with any surprise hold rather than with the move itself. Bessent's public nudge toward higher Japanese rates adds a political dimension, effectively narrowing the space for Tokyo's pro stimulus government to resist BOJ action. If Adachi's view proves right and the tightening cycle extends toward 2% or higher through next year, that would mark a materially steeper path than the median economist fore...
ForexLive
24 Aug 2026, 12:34 GMT
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Gold remains supported into Jackson Hole event after US Treasury ignited 'debasement' tradesPrimeXBT Guide to Trading Costs: Spreads, Fees, and Swap-Free TradingThis Nasdaq futures analysis shows how to trade Nasdaq todayThe Indian rupee is set to revisit record lows as US-Iran deadlock extends, tensions riseECB policymaker Cipollone says inflation is far from the ECB adverse and severe scenariosBitcoin Bull Flag Analysis: See this video after the $79,460 surgeThe Canadian dollar falls across th...
ForexLive
24 Aug 2026, 08:19 GMT
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ECB Executive Board member Piero Cipollone said that the risk of a stagflationary environment remains low despite ongoing geopolitical uncertainties. He added that monetary policy needs to remain "well calibrated" as policymakers continue to assess incoming economic data. He also noted that inflation remains far from the ECB adverse and severe scenarios.Cipollone stressed that there are currently no signs pointing to a stagflation scenario. He added that the risk of stagnation accompanied by a s...
ForexLive
24 Aug 2026, 06:15 GMT
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The week starts off slow with no major economic events for the FX market scheduled for Monday. The following day Japan will release the BoJ core CPI y/y, while the U.S. will publish the CB consumer confidence and new home sales data. Wednesday will bring Australia's CPI data and in the U.S., the focus will shift to the core PCE price index m/m, preliminary GDP q/q, and durable goods orders m/m. The U.S. data releases will continue Thursday with the unemployment claims and the day will also mark ...
ForexLive
21 Aug 2026, 11:55 GMT
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Rate hikes by year-endRBNZ: 52 bps (91% probability of rate hike at the next meeting)ECB: 40 bps (94% probability of rate hike at the next meeting)BoJ: 35 bps (67% probability of rate hike at the next meeting)BoE: 27 bps (81% probability of no change at the next meeting)Fed: 23 bps (65% probability of no change at the next meeting)BoC: 20 bps (97% probability of no change at the next meeting)RBA: 15 bps (85% probability of no change at the next meeting)SNB: 5 bps (91% probability ...
FX Daily Report
21 Aug 2026, 11:22 GMT
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EUR/JPY The bullish correction in EUR/JPY continues to make headway, with price action pressing into the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level near the upper boundary of... The post Forex Technical Cross Pairs Analysis | August 21, 2026 appeared first on FXDailyReport.Com.
ForexLive
21 Aug 2026, 09:00 GMT
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August flash services PMI 51.7 vs 51.5 expectedPrior 51.7August flash manufacturing PMI 52.8 vs 51.8 expectedPrior 51.9August flash composite PMI 52.1 vs 51.7 expectedPrior 52.0After the misses from France and Germany, this is a bit of a surprise - especially the services sector estimate. The pace of expansion in the services sector was unchanged from July but comes in better than what we saw from Europe's two largest economies, with growth outside of the region picking up considerably. Who need...
ForexLive
21 Aug 2026, 08:47 GMT
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ECB policymaker Mārtiņš Kazāks said inflation expectations remain anchored close to the ECB's target, a sign that households, businesses, and financial markets continue to have confidence in the central bank's commitment to price stability. He also highlighted that wage growth is gradually slowing, suggesting that one of the key domestic drivers of inflationary pressure may continue to moderate in the coming quarters. The ECB has repeatedly pointed to wage dynamics as a key factor in assess...
Investing.com Forex
21 Aug 2026, 08:30 GMT
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ForexLive
21 Aug 2026, 07:23 GMT
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EUROPEAN SESSIONIn the European session, we get the Flash PMIs for the major Eurozone economies and the UK. Pretty much all of them are expected to pull back from prior month's levels given the ongoing Hormuz disruption and US-Iran stalemate. The data won't change anything for the respective central banks, though, so the market reaction will likely be muted. Right now, the market is more focused on the Treasury "intervention" plan trying to limit the surge in long-term yields. This has eased f...
ForexLive
21 Aug 2026, 01:37 GMT
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The acceleration in output growth, combined with near record selling price inflation and a sustained rise in employment, strengthens the case for the Bank of Japan to proceed with a rate hike at its September meeting. A private sector expanding at its fastest pace in six months, alongside firms still able to push through some of the steepest price increases on record, suggests the economy can absorb tighter policy without an immediate loss of momentum, addressing one of the central bank's key he...
ForexLive
21 Aug 2026, 01:04 GMT
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The data lands squarely within the range the Bank of Japan needs to justify moving in September, with core inflation matching forecasts and the closely watched core-core measure accelerating to 1.9%. The pickup in service sector inflation is arguably the more important signal for policymakers than the headline energy driven move, since it points to firms passing on labour costs in a tight jobs market rather than a one-off pass-through from oil. Wholesale inflation running at 7.2%, with electrici...
ForexLive
21 Aug 2026, 00:30 GMT
HIGH IMPACT
Japan July 2026 CPI1.9% y/y, will be enough to keep BoJ September rate hike expectations on the boilvs. expected 1.9%, prior 1.6%0.4% m/m (prior 0.3% Core CPI 1.9% y/yexpected 1.8%, prior 1.6%CPI Ex-Food and Energy 1.9% y/yexpected 1.9%, prior 1.7%I'll have more to come on this separately, detail and implications etc. --Background to this:Preview: Japan core CPI seen hitting six month high, lifting bets on BoJ September hike This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at investinglive.com.