Convert 1 RUB to MXN

The Russian Ruble to Mexican Peso exchange rate is influenced by CBR interest rates, oil and gas prices, sanctions, and geopolitical developments, as well as Banxico interest rates, US economic data, oil prices, and trade policy developments. Both the Central Bank of Russia and Bank of Mexico play crucial roles in determining the relative strength of these currencies.

The Russian ruble used to be one of the more interesting EM currencies to trade.. it was a classic oil play where you could basically express a Brent crude view through USDRUB and it worked pretty well. Then 2022 happened and everything changed. Western sanctions cut Russia off from SWIFT froze central bank reserves and basically made the ruble untradeable for most international participants. The Central Bank of Russia brought in capital controls jacked rates up to mental levels and managed to stabilise the currency domestically but the offshore market is essentially dead. Most major forex brokers suspended ruble pairs and liquidity disappeared. The onshore rate and whatever offshore rate you can find diverge massively at times and theres no reliable price discovery anymore. Even before the sanctions the ruble was always volatile and sensitive to oil prices political risk and the general mood around Russia. Now its in a category of its own really. If youre looking at this from a trading perspective theres honestly not much you can do with it through normal channels anymore. A cautionary tale about geopolitical risk if nothing else.. what was once a liquid EM currency became basically untouchable overnight.

The Mexican peso is hands down the most liquid and most traded currency in all of Latin America and its a proper favourite among carry traders. Banxico tends to keep rates significantly higher than the Fed which creates a nice yield pickup on long MXN positions and thats attracted massive flows over the years. USDMXN is the main pair and its got surprisingly good liquidity for an EM currency.. you can trade decent size without too much slippage especially during overlap hours between London and New York. Mexico is hugely tied to the US economy with something like 80 percent of exports heading north so US data moves the peso almost as much as Mexican data does. Oil matters too since Mexico is a producer though not as much as it used to be given declining production from legacy fields. Nearshoring has been a massive theme with companies shifting manufacturing from China to Mexico to be closer to the US market and thats been a structural positive for the peso. Remittance flows from Mexicans working in the States are another big source of dollar inflows. The peso can gap hard on political surprises though so always keep an eye on that.